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B22389817  · 2026-01-20 ·  15 days ago
  • Solana falls below $130 as onchain data hints at a potential rebound

    Solana Slides Under $130 — But Onchain Signals Suggest the Sell-Off May Be Temporary

    Solana’s price briefly slipped below the psychologically important $130 level on Jan. 21, marking its lowest point since early January. At first glance, the move appeared to confirm growing bearish pressure across the broader crypto market. However, a deeper look beneath the surface tells a very different story.

    Despite the short-term price weakness, onchain data reveals that Solana’s fundamentals are quietly strengthening. From whale accumulation to shrinking exchange balances and a revival in network activity, several indicators suggest that SOL’s recent dip may be less of a breakdown and more of a strategic pause before a potential recovery.





    Whales Treat the Dip as an Opportunity, Not a Warning

    Large Solana holders have responded to the price pullback with renewed confidence rather than panic. Onchain data from Glassnode shows a steady rise in accumulation among addresses holding between 1,000 and 10,000 SOL since late November 2025. These wallets now collectively control roughly 48 million SOL, accounting for about 9% of the circulating supply.


    Even more telling is the behavior of the largest holders. Addresses with balances exceeding 100,000 SOL have increased their holdings significantly since mid-November, now controlling approximately 362 million tokens. This represents nearly two-thirds of the total circulating supply and reflects a clear vote of confidence from long-term, high-capital participants.


    Historically, this kind of accumulation during periods of price weakness has often preceded strong upside moves, particularly when driven by wallets that tend to operate on longer time horizons rather than short-term speculation.





    Long-Term Holders Are Back in Accumulation Mode

    Beyond whale wallets, long-term holders appear to be re-entering accumulation territory as well. The long-term holder net position change metric has remained firmly positive since the final week of December 2025, reaching a 15-month high of nearly 3.9 million SOL.

    This shift suggests that investors who typically hold through market cycles are once again adding to their positions in anticipation of higher prices ahead. The last comparable surge in long-term accumulation occurred in October 2024, shortly before Solana staged a powerful rally that pushed prices nearly 100% higher over the following months.

    While history never guarantees repetition, the similarity in onchain behavior is difficult to ignore.





    Exchange Balances Hit Two-Year Lows, Easing Sell Pressure

    Another critical piece of the puzzle lies in Solana’s exchange supply. Data from Glassnode indicates that the amount of SOL held on centralized exchanges has fallen sharply since late November. Exchange balances recently dropped to around 26 million SOL, levels last seen in early 2023.

    When tokens move off exchanges, it generally signals a reduced intention to sell. Investors typically withdraw assets to cold storage or staking when they expect higher prices or plan to hold for longer periods. As a result, declining exchange balances often correlate with reduced sell-side pressure and improved conditions for price recovery.

    In Solana’s case, the steady drawdown in exchange reserves adds weight to the argument that the current dip may be driven more by short-term market sentiment than by structural weakness.





    Network Activity Reawakens After Months of Decline

    Perhaps the strongest confirmation of Solana’s resilience comes from its rapidly improving network activity. Onchain metrics tracked by Nansen show that daily active addresses have surged by more than 50% over the past week, climbing to over five million — the highest level seen in six months.

    Transaction activity has also rebounded sharply. Average daily transactions rose by roughly 20% during the same period, reaching nearly 78 million, a level not seen since mid-2025. This recovery highlights Solana’s continued appeal for decentralized applications, DeFi activity, and high-throughput use cases that rely on low fees and fast settlement.

    Rising user engagement typically translates into stronger onchain demand for SOL, both for transaction fees and staking, reinforcing the network’s economic foundation.





    Stablecoin Liquidity Surges to Record Levels

    Adding another layer to the bullish onchain narrative is the explosive growth in Solana’s stablecoin supply. According to Token Terminal, the total stablecoin value on the network has climbed more than 15% in just one week, reaching an all-time high of approximately $15 billion.

    This influx of stablecoins represents fresh liquidity entering the Solana ecosystem. More capital onchain means greater capacity for trading, lending, DeFi protocols, and application-level activity. Analysts have noted that rising stablecoin supply often precedes periods of heightened market activity, as capital positions itself in anticipation of future opportunities.


    In practical terms, growing stablecoin balances enhance network utility, increase fee generation, and support broader adoption — all factors that tend to strengthen a blockchain’s native asset over time.





    Price Weakness vs. Fundamental Strength

    While SOL’s drop below $130 may have rattled short-term traders, the underlying data paints a far more constructive picture. Whale accumulation, long-term holder confidence, shrinking exchange supply, renewed network usage, and record-breaking stablecoin inflows all point to strengthening fundamentals rather than deterioration.

    If these trends persist, Solana could be positioning itself for a meaningful rebound once broader market conditions stabilize. For now, the onchain signals suggest that the recent pullback may be less about loss of confidence and more about consolidation before the next decisive move.

    In the evolving crypto market, price tells only part of the story — and Solana’s onchain data is quietly telling investors to keep watching closely.




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    2026-01-26 ·  9 days ago
  • US Senate Agriculture Committee Delays Crypto Bill Markup to Month’s End

    US Senate Delays Crypto Market Structure Bill as Bipartisan Talks Continue

    The push to bring regulatory clarity to the US crypto market has hit another temporary pause. Lawmakers on the US Senate Agriculture Committee have decided to delay the markup of the highly anticipated crypto market structure bill, pushing the process to the final week of January as negotiations continue behind the scenes.

    The decision reflects ongoing efforts to secure broader bipartisan backing for legislation that could fundamentally reshape how digital assets are regulated in the United States.



    Why the Senate Agriculture Committee Hit Pause

    Senate Agriculture Committee Chairman John Boozman confirmed that the committee needs additional time to finalize unresolved details and bring more lawmakers on board. While progress has been made, Boozman emphasized that moving forward without sufficient bipartisan support could weaken the bill’s long-term viability.

    According to Boozman, discussions have been constructive, and lawmakers are actively working toward consensus. However, the complexity of crypto regulation, combined with political sensitivities, has made it clear that rushing the markup could be counterproductive.

    The committee now plans to mark up the legislation during the last week of January, giving negotiators a narrow window to bridge remaining gaps.




    What This Crypto Bill Is Trying to Achieve

    At the center of the debate is the question of who regulates what in the crypto industry. The bill aims to clearly define the roles of the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, two agencies that have long overlapped in their oversight of digital assets.

    For years, crypto companies and investors have operated in a regulatory gray zone, often facing enforcement actions without clear guidance. This legislation is expected to establish firm boundaries, offering long-awaited certainty for exchanges, developers, and institutional investors alike.

    Because the Senate Agriculture Committee oversees the CFTC, its involvement is critical to shaping how commodities-like digital assets are regulated going forward.




    Senate vs House: Different Paths to Crypto Regulation

    The Senate bill is not the same as the House’s CLARITY Act, which passed in July. Due to procedural rules, the Senate must advance its own version, even though both bills aim to address similar regulatory challenges.

    Originally, the Agriculture Committee planned to align its markup with the Senate Banking Committee, which oversees the SEC. While the Banking Committee is still expected to proceed, the Agriculture Committee’s delay introduces uncertainty into the timeline for unified Senate action.

    This divergence highlights the difficulty of coordinating crypto legislation across committees with different priorities and regulatory philosophies.




    Stablecoin Yields and Ethics Rules Take Center Stage

    One of the most contentious areas in ongoing negotiations involves stablecoins and ethics provisions. Lawmakers and lobbyists are pushing for changes that would ban all stablecoin yield payments, extending restrictions beyond issuers to include third-party platforms such as crypto exchanges.

    This push follows the GENIUS Act, which already prohibited stablecoin issuers from offering yields. Traditional banking lobbyists argue that allowing exchanges to provide yields creates unfair competition and regulatory loopholes.

    At the same time, several Democratic senators are pressing for stronger ethics rules. These proposals include conflict-of-interest provisions designed to prevent public officials from profiting from ties to crypto companies, with some language explicitly covering the president and senior government officials.



    Industry Pushback and Developer Protections

    Crypto advocacy groups and major industry players are actively lobbying to protect software developers and non-custodial platforms. Their concern is that overly broad definitions could classify developers as financial intermediaries, subjecting them to compliance requirements designed for banks and brokers.

    The industry argues that such a move would stifle innovation, push development offshore, and undermine the decentralized nature of blockchain technology. Ensuring that open-source developers are excluded from intermediary classifications remains a key demand from the crypto sector.



    Political Risks and the Midterm Election Factor

    Despite the momentum surrounding crypto regulation, political reality looms large. Investment bank TD Cowen recently warned that upcoming US midterm elections could significantly reduce the support needed to pass the bill.

    If control of Congress shifts or political priorities change, the legislation could be delayed for years. TD Cowen suggested that the bill is more likely to pass in 2027, with full implementation potentially not arriving until 2029.

    This timeline underscores why the crypto industry is watching January’s markup so closely. For many stakeholders, it may represent one of the last realistic windows for meaningful reform in the near term.




    What Comes Next for US Crypto Regulation

    While the delay may disappoint market participants eager for clarity, it also signals that lawmakers are taking the process seriously. A bill passed with strong bipartisan support is far more likely to survive political shifts and legal challenges.

    As the final week of January approaches, attention will remain firmly fixed on Capitol Hill. Whether lawmakers can reconcile competing interests and deliver a comprehensive framework may determine the future of crypto innovation in the United States.




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    2026-01-19 ·  15 days ago
  • Solana Sees $900M Stablecoin Market Cap Increase in 24 Hours

    Solana’s Stablecoin Market Surges by $900M in 24 Hours, Signaling a New Phase of Onchain Finance

    Solana has recorded one of its most significant liquidity events of the year after its stablecoin market capitalization expanded by nearly $900 million within a single 24-hour period. The sudden increase highlights a broader shift in how capital is moving onchain, with stablecoins increasingly acting as the foundation of digital financial infrastructure.


    According to data from DeFiLlama, the total value of stablecoins circulating on the Solana blockchain rose to approximately $15.3 billion. This sharp rise reflects accelerating adoption across decentralized finance, payments, and real-world asset tokenization, positioning Solana as a serious contender in the race to host global onchain capital markets.




    What Triggered the Sudden Stablecoin Influx on Solana?

    The primary driver behind the surge was the launch of JupUSD, a new stablecoin introduced by decentralized finance platform Jupiter. Developed in partnership with Ethena, a prominent issuer of synthetic dollar assets, JupUSD brought a wave of fresh liquidity into the Solana ecosystem almost immediately after launch.


    The release of JupUSD underscores a growing trend: stablecoins are no longer just passive tools for trading. They are becoming active financial instruments designed to power lending, derivatives, payments, and capital-efficient DeFi strategies. Solana’s high throughput and low transaction costs make it an attractive environment for launching such products at scale.




    USDC’s Dominance Remains Unchallenged on Solana

    Despite the entry of new stablecoins, Circle’s USDC continues to dominate Solana’s stablecoin economy. The dollar-pegged asset accounts for more than 67% of the network’s total stablecoin market capitalization, reinforcing its role as the primary settlement asset across Solana-based applications.

    USDC’s dominance reflects institutional trust, regulatory clarity, and deep liquidity, all of which are critical factors as Solana attracts more professional traders, funds, and real-world asset issuers. The continued reliance on USDC also suggests that Solana’s growth is increasingly driven by structured capital rather than purely speculative flows.




    Solana’s Shift Toward Internet Capital Markets

    The rapid expansion of stablecoin liquidity points to a deeper transformation underway within the Solana ecosystem. Rather than serving only as a hub for NFTs or retail trading, Solana is evolving into a platform where value, risk, and settlement are handled entirely onchain.

    In these emerging Internet capital markets, stablecoins act as the base layer for financial activity. They enable instant settlement, programmable payments, and seamless interaction between decentralized protocols and centralized platforms. This convergence is attracting traders who operate across both DeFi and CeFi environments, including users of global exchanges such as BYDFi, where stablecoins play a key role in spot trading, derivatives, and cross-market liquidity management.




    Stablecoins Become the Core Infrastructure of Tokenized Assets

    The importance of stablecoins extends far beyond blockchain-native use cases. According to Moody’s Investors Service, stablecoin settlement volumes increased by 87% in 2025, driven largely by the rise of tokenized real-world assets.

    Tokenized RWAs represent traditional assets such as real estate, commodities, government bonds, and collectibles on blockchain networks. These assets require stablecoins for pricing, liquidity, collateralization, and settlement. Without reliable stablecoins, large-scale tokenization would struggle to function efficiently.

    As more capital flows into tokenized markets, traders and investors increasingly rely on stablecoins as a bridge between traditional finance and digital asset platforms. Exchanges like BYDFi benefit from this trend by offering stablecoin-based trading pairs that allow users to move capital quickly between onchain ecosystems and centralized liquidity venues.




    A $30 Trillion Opportunity Taking Shape

    Several major financial institutions project that the tokenized real-world asset market could reach $30 trillion by 2030. Stablecoins are expected to be among the biggest beneficiaries of this growth, serving as the settlement layer for trillions of dollars in onchain value.

    Already, the total market capitalization of overcollateralized stablecoins backed one-to-one by cash and government debt is approaching $300 billion. This growth reflects rising demand for transparent, regulated digital dollars that can operate seamlessly across blockchains and trading platforms.

    For traders, this expansion opens new opportunities to access tokenized assets, hedge risk, and deploy capital efficiently using stablecoin pairs available on platforms like BYDFi, which cater to both retail and professional users.




    Regulation Reshapes the Stablecoin Landscape

    Regulatory clarity is playing a major role in shaping the future of stablecoins. In July 2025, the United States enacted the GENIUS Act, which requires regulated payment stablecoins to be fully backed by high-quality liquid assets. This move effectively excludes algorithmic and under-collateralized stablecoins from being recognized as payment instruments under U.S. law.

    The legislation also prevents stablecoin issuers from sharing yield directly with users, a rule that has sparked debate about how digital dollars may compete with traditional banks. While controversial, the framework provides long-term certainty for compliant stablecoins, which could accelerate institutional adoption across networks like Solana.




    Solana’s Stablecoin Boom Signals What Comes Next

    The $900 million surge in Solana’s stablecoin market cap is more than a short-term spike. It signals growing confidence in onchain finance, deeper liquidity across decentralized protocols, and increasing integration between blockchain networks and centralized trading platforms.

    As stablecoins continue to power payments, trading, and tokenized assets, Solana’s role in the global crypto economy is likely to expand further. With platforms such as BYDFi supporting stablecoin-based trading and capital deployment, the line between traditional finance and onchain markets continues to blur, bringing the vision of a fully digital financial system closer to reality.

    2026-01-09 ·  a month ago
  • Gold and Stocks Outperformed Crypto, But 2026 May Change the Game

    Crypto’s Silent Standstill: As Gold Glitters and Stocks Hold Firm, 2026 Beckons a Digital Rebellion

    The final curtain of 2025 is drawing close, casting long shadows across the global financial landscape, where the performance review for major assets reads with stark and compelling contrast. In one corner, traditional safe-haven gold gleams with a formidable 9% ascent since November, its luster undiminished by economic uncertainty, shining as a beacon of stability in turbulent times. Beside it, the steadfast S&P 500, though modest in its trajectory, holds its ground with a resilient 1% gain, a testament to the enduring, if cautious, confidence in corporate America's engine. In the other,


    Bitcoin—the digital pioneer, the architect of a financial revolution—sits 20% lower, its price hovering around the $88,000 mark, a silent sentinel in a storm of comparative prosperity. This isn't merely a dip; it's a glaring, profound divergence, a chasm of performance that speaks volumes about current market sentiment and sectoral rotation. Yet, beneath this surface calm, beneath the apparent stagnation, a powerful and meticulously crafted narrative for 2026 is quietly scripting itself, page by page, in the ledgers of blockchain and the strategies of institutional vaults: the great crypto catch-up, a rebellion against the established order of asset hierarchy.


    According to penetrating insights from the market intelligence platform Santiment, this conspicuous lag may well be the essential prelude to a significant and dramatic convergence. "The correlation between Bitcoin & crypto compared to other major sectors is still lagging behind," their analysts astutely observe, pinpointing the coming year not as a simple calendar flip but as a pivotal, expansive window of generational opportunity.


    The stage for this impending drama is being set not by the roaring crowds of mainstream media or the fevered chatter of retail forums, but in the silent, deliberate movements of the market's most powerful and shadowy players—the whales, the institutions, the long-term sovereign holders whose collective breath can stir hurricanes in the digital seas.






    The Whale Watch: Titans Awaiting Their Cue in the Deep

    The second half of 2025 has written a compelling tale of two distinct classes of holders, a narrative split between the relentless many and the patient few. While smaller, retail wallets engaged in what appeared to be aggressive, hopeful accumulation, buying the dip with steadfast conviction, the colossal  whale  wallets—those market-moving leviathans

    holding vast crypto fortunes capable of bending price trends—paused. They rode the powerful wave to October's dazzling all-time high with the grace of seasoned surfers, then deliberately stepped back onto the sand, their monumental activity flatlining into a silence that echoes across every exchange. This stillness is not empty; it is deafening, heavy with strategic intent, a collective inhalation before a decisive exhalation.


    History, as Santiment's data meticulously notes, provides the clear script for what typically follows such a tableau: "Historically, the best recipe for a bear pattern to flip to a bullish one is when large wallets accumulate, and retail dumps.  The whales are not merely waiting on the sidelines; they are perched there, analyzing, calculating, their vast capital pools like coiled springs, their potential re-entry poised to be the undeniable catalyst that turns the tide from ebb to flow.


    Adding profound weight to this observation, long-term Bitcoin holders—the most stalwart of conviction investors—have, for the first time in six long months, decisively halted their selling. This is a decisive brake applied after a prolonged, wearying period of distribution, suggesting a critical depletion of sell-side pressure and a hardening of the digital asset's foundational core.





    The First Whisper: Is the Subterranean Shift Already Brewing?

    Beyond the patient waiting of giants, there are nascent whispers and tantalizing signals that the great capital rotation—the perennial chase for alpha—may have already begun its stealthy pivot. Garrett Jin, former CEO of the now-defunct crypto exchange BitForex, points to a discernible conclusion in the recent metals market rally, suggesting with trader's certainty, "Capital is beginning to flow into crypto.  His philosophy cuts with elegant simplicity to the core of all market cycles:  Capital is the same. Always sell high and buy low.

    This timeless adage now hints at crypto markets representing the "low" in the equation, the undervalued asset poised for reevaluation.


    On-chain data, the immutable truth-teller of crypto, offers intriguing, if seemingly mixed, signals for those who know how to listen. The number of active Bitcoin addresses, a key metric of network health and user adoption, has ticked upwards by over 5%—a clear, quickening pulse of renewed interest and grassroots engagement. Yet, in a fascinating paradox, overall transaction volume has concurrently fallen. This dichotomy often does not signify apathy; instead, it historically precedes major periods of consolidation, a compression of energy before a powerful directional move.


    Market analyst CyrilXBT frames this moment with perfect clarity, calling it a "classic late-cycle positioning before a shift," the quiet tension in the air moments before the storm breaks.






    2026: The Grand Arena for a Historic Convergence

    So, what magnificent stage does this intricate prelude set for us? 2026 emerges not merely as another sequential year in the financial calendar, but as a grand arena, a coliseum for historic asset class convergence. The staggering outperformance of gold and the resilient steadiness of equities have widened a valuation and narrative gap that crypto, with its historically high-beta, explosive nature, is uniquely positioned to close with breathtaking speed. When the whale accumulation begins in earnest—triggered by a macroeconomic cue, a regulatory clarity, or simply the weight of undervaluation—it could ignite a rapid, violent recalibration that would rewrite portfolio strategies worldwide.


    This impending move is not just about Bitcoin reclaiming a lost price point or cheerleading for a specific number; it is about the entire digital asset sector reasserting its disruptive narrative within the broader, staid financial ecosystem. The "digital gold" thesis faces its most direct test, and the response may not be a meek imitation, but a powerful, independent surge that captivates global capital by demonstrating unique utility, technological maturation, and unparalleled market structure. It is the story of an adolescent asset class reaching a new level of maturity and force.





    The Final Act and the Coming Overture

    The final act of 2025 is thus one of crypto patience, a display of stoic strength under pressure, juxtaposed against traditional asset vigor. But the opening scene of 2026, written in the code of blockchain and the strategies of billion-dollar funds, promises a far more dynamic and volatile plot: a hungry market, vast sidelined capital yearning for returns, and the latent, compressed volatility of Bitcoin and its digital brethren preparing for a dramatic, awe-inspiring play to narrow the gap. The catch-up race is not just on the horizon; it is loading in the starting blocks, awaiting the crack of the pistol. For the astute observer, the silence of today is the most deafening forecast of tomorrow's roar.






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    2026-01-16 ·  19 days ago
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